let's be real: this is Arizona State's game to lose, and I don't say that lightly. When the Sun Devils are putting up 38.0 points a game and Hawaii is allowing 26.0, the math already leans one way. Add in the fact that Arizona State is averaging 426.0 yards per game, which is 26.2 more than the Rainbow Warriors are giving up, and what exactly are we pretending is the mystery here?

On Saturday, October 10, 2026, the Arizona State Sun Devils host the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors at Mountain America Stadium in Tempe, Arizona. The game is set for 10:30 p.m. ET, and it sits on the schedule as one of those matchups where the ticket is the easy part and the real question is whether Hawaii can slow the pace down enough to make this interesting. I don't see it. Not with the way Arizona State has moved the ball, and not with the way the numbers line up.

Here's the thing nobody wants to say out loud: the Sun Devils have already shown who they are. They beat Morgan State 70-7, lost at Texas A&M 48-20, and beat Kansas 24-17 before heading into the Oct. 10 date with Hawaii. That is not a team stumbling around looking for an identity. That is a team with enough firepower to make a home date feel like a statement, and if you're buying a ticket, you're buying into that possibility whether you admit it or not.

And the individual production backs it up. Cutter Boley has nine touchdown throws and two interceptions in three games, while Reed Harris has 19 catches for 374 yards and five touchdowns. Kyson Brown has added 227 rushing yards and one touchdown. Those are not empty numbers. Those are the kind of numbers that tell you Arizona State can hit you through the air and on the ground, so what happens when a defense already giving up 26.0 points a game has to deal with that kind of balance?

If you're looking for tickets, the game is listed through StubHub, Vivid Seats, and Ticketmaster. That part is simple. The harder part is convincing yourself this is a toss-up. It isn't. It's a home game with a clear edge, a late kickoff, and a Sun Devils team that has already made the case that it can score in bunches. That's why this one feels worth watching, and why the ticket market makes sense for anyone who wants to see whether Hawaii can actually hang around.

— Stephen A. Spliff